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A Cost Approach to Economic Analysis under Production Uncertainty AgEcon
Chavas, Jean-Paul.
This paper explores the economics of input decision by a firm facing production uncertainty. It relies on a state-contingent approach to production uncertainty. First, the paper develops a methodology to specify and estimate cost-minimizing input decisions under a state-contingent technology. Second, the analysis is applied to time series data on US agriculture. It finds strong empirical evidence that, in the analysis of input choices, expected output alone does not provide an appropriate representation of production uncertainty. The results provide empirical support for an output-cubical technology. This indicates that an ex post analysis of stochastic technology (as commonly found in previous research) appears appropriate. The analysis also provides...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Production uncertainty; State contingent; Cost; Cubical technology.; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods; C3; D21; D8.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/21081
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A DYNAMIC ANALYSIS OF THE EFFECTS OF A PRICE SUPPORT PROGRAM ON PRICE DYNAMICS AND PRICE VOLATILITY AgEcon
Kim, Kwansoo; Chavas, Jean-Paul.
This study presents an econometric analysis of the effects of a government price support program on price dynamics and price volatility. Price support programs, a common feature of agricultural policy, provide a lower-bound censoring of the distribution of market prices. An econometric model of market prices is developed using a dynamic Tobit specification under time-varying volatility. The model is applied to the U.S. non-fat dry milk market. It is used to investigate the impact of market liberalization on price dynamics and price volatility in the presence of private and public stocks. The econometric results show how the price support program and stocks (both private and public) affect expected price volatility.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 2002 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/31133
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A GENERALIZED DISTANCE FUNCTION AND THE ANALYSIS OF PRODUCTION EFFICIENCY AgEcon
Chavas, Jean-Paul; Cox, Thomas L..
A generalization of Shephard's distance functions is proposed, extending the usefulness of distance functions in economic analysis. Applications to efficiency measurements and productivity analysis are presented. New indexes of productivity, and technical, allocative and scale efficiency are proposed and analyzed. Interpretation of these indexes in terms of ray-average cost, ray-average revenue, and cost-to-revenue ratio is discussed.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Production Economics.
Ano: 1999 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/12601
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A NONPARAMETRIC ANALYSIS OF THE SOURCE AND NATURE OF TECHNICAL CHANGE: THE CASE OF U.S. AGRICULTURE AgEcon
Chavas, Jean-Paul; Aliber, Michael; Cox, Thomas L..
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Research and Development/Tech Change/Emerging Technologies.
Ano: 1994 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/12660
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A POOLED TIME-SERIES CROSS-SECTION ANALYSIS OF LAND PRICES AgEcon
Chavas, Jean-Paul; Shumway, C. Richard.
Based on a theoretical formulation of land price formation as an economic rent to a fixed input, a single equation econometric model is specified and estimated to explain land prices in five Iowa crop reporting districts. It identifies the influence of farm prices, inflationary pressures, and land quality on the price of land.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Land Economics/Use.
Ano: 1982 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/32424
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A PRIMAL-DUAL APPROACH TO NONPARAMETRIC PRODUCTIVITY ANALYSIS: THE CASE OF U.S. AGRICULTURE AgEcon
Chavas, Jean-Paul; Cox, Thomas L..
Nonparametric methods for measuring productivity indexes based on bounds for the underlying production technology are presented. Following Banker and Maindiratta, the lower bound is obtained from a primal approach while the upper bound corresponds to a dual approach to nonparametric production analysis. These nonparametric bounds are then used to estimate input-based and output- based distance functions. These radial measures provide the basis for measuring productivity indexes. Application to times series data on U.S. agriculture indicates a large gap between the primal lower bound and the dual upper bound. This generates striking differences between the primal and dual nonparametric productivity indexes.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Productivity Analysis.
Ano: 1994 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/12613
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A Semi-Parametric Analysis of Technology, with an Application to U.S. Dairy Farms AgEcon
de los Campos, Gustavos; Foltz, Jeremy D.; Chavas, Jean-Paul; Gianola, Daniel.
This article proposes a semi-parametric stochastic frontier model (SPSF) in which components of the technology and of technical efficiency are represented using semi-parametric methods and estimated in a Bayesian framework. The approach is illustrated in an application to US farm data. The analysis shows important scale economies for small and medium herds and constant return to scale for larger herds. With the exception of labor, estimates of marginal products were close to the value expected under profit maximization. Finally, the results suggest important opportunities to increase productivity through reductions in technical inefficiencies.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Productivity Analysis; Research and Development/Tech Change/Emerging Technologies; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/92251
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ADJUSTMENTS OF MIDWEST GRAIN FARM BUSINESSES IN RESPONSE TO INCREASES IN PETROLEUM ENERGY PRICES AgEcon
Kliebenstein, James B.; Chavas, Jean-Paul.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy.
Ano: 1977 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/30520
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AGRO-BIODIVERSITY AND AGRICULTURAL POLICIES IN AN UNCERTAIN ENVIRONMENT AgEcon
Di Falco, Salvatore; Chavas, Jean-Paul.
Recently, financial assistance to farms has been widely under scrutiny. Agricultural assistance has an important impact on farmers' production decisions and those decisions in turn affect resources use or environmental quality. Surprisingly, the impact of agricultural policies on agro-biodiversity has been relatively neglected. This paper purports a novel framework to analyze the role of crop biodiversity on the mean and the variance of farm revenues. Further, the potential use of this framework in studying the impact of farm financial assistance to crop biodiversity loss is investigated.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/20420
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An Analysis of Bundle Pricing in Horizontal and Vertical Markets: The Case of the U.S. Cottonseed Market AgEcon
Shi, Guanming; Stiegert, Kyle W.; Chavas, Jean-Paul.
In this paper, we investigate substitution/complementarity relationships among products sold with different bundled characteristics and under different vertical arrangements. Our conceptual model demonstrates the interactive price impacts emanating from product differentiation, market concentration and market size. The model is applied to the U.S. cottonseed market using transaction level data from 2002 to 2007. This market has been impacted structurally in numerous ways due to the advances and the rapid adoption of seeds with differing bundles of biotechnology traits and vertical penetration emanating from the biotechnology seed industry. Several interesting findings are reported. The econometric investigation finds evidence of sub-additive pricing in the...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Marketing; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/92248
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An Analysis of Bundle Pricing: The Case of the Corn Seed Market AgEcon
Shi, Guanming; Chavas, Jean-Paul; Stiegert, Kyle W..
This paper investigates bundle pricing under imperfect competition. In a multiproduct context, we first examine how substitution/complementarity relationships among products can affect pricing. This is used to motivate multi-product generalizations of the Herfindahl-Hirschmann index (GHHI) capturing cross-market effects of imperfect competition on bundle pricing. The GHHI model is applied to pricing of conventional and patented biotech seeds in the US from 2000-2007. One major finding is that standard component pricing in biotech traits is soundly rejected in favor of sub-additive bundle pricing. This result is consistent with the presence of scope economies in the production of genetic traits. The econometric estimates show how changes in market...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Agribusiness; Demand and Price Analysis.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/92212
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AN ANALYSIS OF ECONOMIC EFFICIENCY IN AGRICULTURE: A NONPARAMETRIC APPROACH AgEcon
Chavas, Jean-Paul; Aliber, Michael.
A nonparametric analysis of technical, allocative, scale, and scope efficiency of agricultural production is presented based on a sample of Wisconsin farmers. The results indicate the existence of important economies of scale on very small farms, and of some diseconomies of scale for the larger farms. Also, it is found that most farms exhibit substantial economies of scope, but that such economies tend to decline sharply with the size of the enterprises. Finally, the empirical evidence suggests significant linkages between the financial structure of the farms and their economic efficiency.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Farm Management; Industrial Organization.
Ano: 1993 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/30811
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An Analysis of Pricing in the U.S. Cotton Seed Market AgEcon
Shi, Guanming; Stiegert, Kyle W.; Chavas, Jean-Paul.
The purpose of the research in this paper is to investigate the impact of differentiated vertical strategies by agricultural biotechnology firms in the U.S. cottonseed market. The model advances the measurement of industry concentration to consider substitution/complementarity relationships among differentiated products delivered under different vertical structures. We find evidence of sub-additive pricing in the stacking of bundled biotech traits. Prices paid by farmers for cottonseed sold under vertical integration are found to be higher than under licensing. The model is flexible and allows for evaluation of the effects of changing market structures. The parameters on traditional measures of concentration indicate that higher concentration leads to...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Modal Vertical Strategy; Imperfect competition; Cotton seed; Biotechnology; Agricultural and Food Policy; Demand and Price Analysis; Industrial Organization; L13; L4; L65.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/51617
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An Analysis of the Pricing of Traits in the U.S. Corn Seed Market AgEcon
Shi, Guanming; Chavas, Jean-Paul; Stiegert, Kyle W..
This paper investigates the pricing of patented traits in the U.S. hybrid corn seed market under imperfect competition. In a multiproduct context, we first examine how substitution/complementarity relationships among products can affect pricing. This is used to motivate multi-product generalizations of the Herfindahl-Hirschman index (GHHI) capturing cross-market effects of imperfect competition on bundle pricing. The GHHI model is applied to pricing of conventional and patented biotech seeds in the US from 2000-2007. One major finding is that standard component pricing in biotech traits is soundly rejected in favor of subadditive bundle pricing. The econometric estimates show how changes in market structures (as measured by both own- and cross-Herfindahl...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Marketing; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/92249
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AN ANALYSIS OF THE ROLE OF FUTURES PRICES, CASH PRICES AND GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS IN ACREAGE RESPONSE AgEcon
Chavas, Jean-Paul; Pope, Rulon D.; Kao, Robert S..
An integrated investigation of futures price, cash price, and government programs is presented in the context of an econometric model of acreage supply response for U.S. corn and soybeans. The analysis refines the role of different sources of price information in the farmers' acreage decision. It is found that the government corn support price program plays a major role in corn and soybean production decisions. Also, the results indicate that futures prices are not good proxies for expected future cash prices in the presence of government programs. This raises questions about the information efficiency of futures prices when government intervenes in the market place.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries.
Ano: 1983 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/32481
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An Econometric Analysis of Brand Level Strategic Pricing Between Coca Cola and Pepsi Inc. AgEcon
Dhar, Tirtha Pratim; Chavas, Jean-Paul; Cotterill, Ronald W.; Gould, Brian W..
Market structure and strategic pricing for leading brands sold by Coca Cola and Pepsi Inc. are investigated in the context of a flexible demand specification and structural price equations. This approach is more general than prior studies that rely upon linear approximations and interactions of an inherently nonlinear problem. We test for Bertrand equilibrium, Stackelberg equilibrium, collusion, and a general conjectural variation (CV) specification. This nonlinear Full Information Maximum Likelihood (FIML) estimation approach provides useful information on the nature of imperfect competition and the extent of market power.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Market structure; Strategic pricing; Conjectural variations; Price reaction; Carbonated soft drinks; Demand and Price Analysis.
Ano: 2002 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/25231
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An Econometric Analysis of Price Dynamics in the Presence of a Price Floor: The Case of American Cheese AgEcon
Chavas, Jean-Paul; Kim, Kwansoo.
In this paper, we present an econometric analysis for the effects of a price floor on price dynamics and price volatility. A price floor (implemented as a part of government pricing policy) provides a censoring mechanism for price determination. We specify and estimate a dynamic Tobit model under time-varying volatility. The model is applied to analyze the effects of a price support program on price dynamics and price volatility in the U.S. American cheese market. The econometric analysis provides useful insights on price dynamics in the presence of a government-determined price floor.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Censored regression; Market liberalization; Model selection; Price dynamics; Price volatility; Demand and Price Analysis; Q0; D4; C5.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/43628
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AN ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS OF THE EFFECTS OF MARKET LIBERALIZATION ON PRICE DYNAMICS AND PRICE VOLATILITY AgEcon
Chavas, Jean-Paul; Kim, Kwansoo.
The paper investigates price dynamics under market liberalization, with a focus on the effects of lowering price floors. We analyze price dynamics by specifying and estimating a dynamic Tobit model under time-varying volatility, where the market price is censored by a government-set support price. The model is applied to the U.S. butter market over the last three decades. The econometric results show how the price support program affects both expected prices and the volatility of prices. It is found that the censoring effects of a price support program can be significant and large even if the price support is set relatively low.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Demand and Price Analysis.
Ano: 2001 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/20649
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AN ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF CORN YIELD, CORN PROFITABILITY, AND RISK AT THE EDGE OF THE CORN BELT AgEcon
Chavas, Jean-Paul; Kim, Kwansoo; Lauer, Joseph G.; Klemme, Richard M.; Bland, William L..
This study investigates the recent evolution of corn yield, with a special focus on the tradeoff between corn profitability and risk. The analysis relies on time-series data from Wisconsin experimental farms at the edge of the Corn Belt. An econometric model of corn yield, corn grain moisture, and corn profitability is specified. Both conditional means and conditional variances are estimated for different sites in Wisconsin. The empirical analysis shows the changes in corn yield and profit over time and across space. The evidence suggests that yield trends are due mostly to technical progress, with smaller effects generated by climate change. On average, corn yield and profitability have improved faster in northern Wisconsin than in the Corn Belt....
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries.
Ano: 2001 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/31152
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An Economic Analysis of Product Differentiation under Latent Separability AgEcon
Dhar, Tirtha Pratim; Chavas, Jean-Paul; Cotterill, Ronald W..
This paper develops an analysis of markets for differentiated products. It relies on the concept of latent separability for consumer preferences. As proposed by Blundell and Robin, latent separability assumes that purchased products are allocated in the production of latent intermediate utility-yielding goods. Product differentiation can arise when each product makes a different contribution to the production of the latent goods. Latent separability is particularly attractive in the investigation of markets for branded products where the number of brands is large. It allows focusing on the demand for a smaller number of latent goods. Our approach is based on a quadratic almost ideal demand system (Q-AIDS), which provides a flexible representation of...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Agribusiness.
Ano: 2003 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/21892
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